Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has made a terrific 42.1% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly more than his 33.6 rate last season.
Malik Beasley has averaged a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 23.6 minutes per game last year.
The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cam Thomas is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Thomas is on the road and facing opposing starting SGs this year, they have converted just 31.6% of their three-pointers (17th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

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