Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has sunk a terrific 42.2% of his three-point shots this year, significantly more than his 33.6 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 72.8% clip, Malik Beasley's free-throw effectiveness has tailed off this season to 61.5%.
Malik Beasley is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

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