Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has made an impressive 43.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 33.6 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.5 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (26th-most in the league) against the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Malik Beasley will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (11.4).
The 5th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Clippers).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).