Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has sunk 2.7 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 29.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.
This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).
The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley measures in the 11th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a a bad 59.1% rate this year.
The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (12th-least in the league).

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