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Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley lands in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted, posting 2.8 per game this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).

The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Malik Beasley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts away from home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Malik Beasley has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Malik Beasley stands to experience a decrease in production for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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