Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has converted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (12.1).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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