Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has successfully made 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season while at home.
Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year.
With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game places best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
When playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 21.6% on 3-pointers (15th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
The Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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