Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 37.6% mark, Malik Beasley's shooting prowess has increased this year to 44.7%.
In comparison to last season's 33.6% rate, Malik Beasley's three-point ability has spiked this season to 43.5%.
Malik Beasley has tallied 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Bucks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The matchup against Chicago is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Bulls are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.7).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the league on the road with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Bulls, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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