Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 2.6 rate, Malik Beasley's three-pointers sunk have surged this year to 3.7 per game.
Malik Beasley has been on the court for an impressive 27.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 23.1 minutes per game last year.
In regard to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 123.1 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last season.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Bulls are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.7).
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).