Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 2.6 rate, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers made have jumped this year to 3.6 per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Bucks's outstanding 122.1 points per game away from home settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 17.6 points per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has tallied 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last year.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Malik Beasley figures to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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