Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has sunk a whopping 3.9 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.6 mark last year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (14.5).
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.2 rate, Malik Beasley's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 2.1.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Malik Beasley will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production for all stats.