Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Bucks's excellent 118.1 points per game as the away team measures as the 6th-most in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (21st-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
Malik Beasley stands to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has attempted just 5.8 3-point shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 7.4 mark last season.
Compared to last season's 1.2 mark, Malik Beasley's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.3.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.5).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).