Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 7.4 clip, Malik Beasley's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 6.8 per game.
The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has committed 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have posted 13.8 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Hornets are at home (13th-least in the league).
Malik Beasley ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this contest.