Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 2.6 mark, Malik Beasley's three-pointers scored have fallen this season to 2.0 per game.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (26th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a good matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
At home, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Malik Beasley has averaged 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last year.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Malik Beasley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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