Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has attempted 7.3 three-pointers per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Malik Beasley has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's stellar 116.9 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 6th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
The Bucks are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.1 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Nets are the visiting team (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Malik Beasley places in the 11th percentile for field goal performance at home with a a poor 37.6% rate since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 26.9% on 3-pointers (15th-weakest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (lengthening possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Malik Beasley has attempted 0.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.