Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 7:01 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has sunk 44.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should increase plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league on the road this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
On their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Malik Beasley has sunk a measly 71.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 81.4 mark last season.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a massive 23.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (9th-most in the NBA).
Malik Beasley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production for all stats.