Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Dallas is a good one; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (16.7).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dallas may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

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