Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-128/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Golden State is a difficult one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.1).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting squad (9th-least in the NBA).

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