Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has attempted 9.3 treys per game over the last 15 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Malik Beasley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's converted overall this year.
Malik Beasley has committed 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (23rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 25.8 foul shots per game this year on his home court (3rd-least in the league).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season away from home.
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been lousy at drawing fouls on the road: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 21.0 foul shots per game.
Malik Beasley will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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