Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.0 @ -137 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 3.6 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league by this metric in recent days: 75th percentile.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have come down with 6.6 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

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