Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 4.0 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Spurs).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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