Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's totaled in all games this season on the road.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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