Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 3.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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