Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 52.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup with Kyrie Irving rates in the 19th percentile for difficulty with rival starting SGs burying just 42.3% of their field goals this year.
The Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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