Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 11:52 PM UTC

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 10.8 mark, Malcolm Brogdon's shots have surged this year to 15.8 per game.
In contrast to last year's 4.5 mark, Malcolm Brogdon's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 5.7 per game.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 104.3 points per game without the home court advantage places fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 3.2 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
While at home, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Malcolm Brogdon stands to suffer a drop-off in production across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.