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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nets are on the road, their opposition have compiled the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).

The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.

The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Nets are the visiting squad, the other team have attempted a massive 28.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the league).

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