Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Pacers have the home court advantage, opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.8).
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing squads have put up the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.4%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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