Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 52.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season on the road.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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