Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Trail Blazers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Bucks (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 35.7% rate of converted threes when playing at home settles in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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