Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+138/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -178.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 1.8 three-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon is expected to see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this game.