Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year in regard to threes.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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