Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.4 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Spurs, branding this as a good matchup.
The Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Spurs have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA playing at home this year.

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