Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-158).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (7.6).
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 14thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 14.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Portland Trail Blazers's poor 33.1% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Away from their home court, the Washington Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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