Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.3 treys per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon figures to get a boost in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

As it relates to threes, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 31.6% rate of drained threes on their home court settles in as the weakest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for threes; opposing clubs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.8).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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