Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/23/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 23, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 10:21 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a terrific 42.1% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 rate last year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.
Malcolm Brogdon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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