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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -184 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk an impressive 42.7% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 29.6 mark last year.

The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year as it relates to 3-point shots.

The matchup against Miami is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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