Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a hard one for threes; when the 76ers are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 11th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (31.2%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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