Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 10:01 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 42.2% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last year.
The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.6).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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