Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made an impressive 42.0% of his three-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 mark last season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 13th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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