Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a whopping 43.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a sizeable increase from his 29.6 mark last year.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have averaged the 4th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.9).
The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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