Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.2 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league while playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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