Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk an impressive 42.9% of his treys this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team have tallied the 6th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.5).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.

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