Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled a whopping 5.3 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 3.5 assists per game last year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon is expected to see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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