Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 5.0 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this standard recently: 91st percentile.
The 3rd-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has snagged 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (lengthening possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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