Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 93rd percentile.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Brooklyn Nets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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