Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged a whopping 5.7 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.5 assists per game last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 8thbest in in the NBA on the road with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production for all stats.

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