Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 7.3 assists per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon will likely see a rise in production for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 5th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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