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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Assists
Player Prop - 5/29/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 79th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

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