Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/17/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 17, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 4.3 assists per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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