Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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